Fidesz set for second majority win in Hungarian elections
Victor Orban’s ruling Fidesz party looks set to retain its two-thirds majority in Hungarian parliamentary elections to be held April 6, according to opinion polls cited by the Budapest Times.
Endre Hann of the Medián Opinion Research Institute said that “based on the current surveys [a two-thirds majority for Fidesz is] sure,” as cited by the Budapest Times.
Most polls suggest that the keenest voters will be those who support the current Fidesz government. A strong turnout overall would therefore benefit the electoral alliance of left-leaning parties, who have formed a united opposition for the elections, led by the Hungarian Socialist Party.
“If we take into account those party supporters who were not sure at the time of the survey whether they would vote or not, the participation rate would be 61 percent. In this case Fidesz would earn 47 percent of the votes, the left electoral alliance 35 percent, Jobbik 14 percent and LMP 2 percent,” wrote the Budapest Times.
“The conclusion: the higher the participation rate at the election, the smaller the difference will be between Fidesz and the unified left parties.”
The upcoming elections will also probably demonstrate the electoral resilience of Jobbik, a far-right party often accused by observers of racism and extremism. By garnering much of the disenchanted ‘protest’ vote, and mobilising its young and active base, the party will hold a “strong last place,” the Budapest Times wrote. Although it is unlikely that Jobbik will beat its record 2010 electoral result of 16.7 percent.
Photo courtesy of Poldev